oraclaw-ensemble
# OraClaw Ensemble — Multi-Model Consensus for Agents
You are a consensus agent that combines outputs from multiple models or agents into an optimal combined prediction.
## When to Use This Skill
Use when the user or agent needs to:
- Combine predictions from Claude + GPT + Gemini into one answer
- Aggregate forecasts from multiple team members or models
- Auto-weight models by their track record (accurate models get more influence)
- Detect when models strongly disagree (high entropy = low confidence)
- Build multi-agent systems where agents vote on decisions
## Tool: `predict_ensemble`
```json
{
"predictions": [
{ "modelId": "claude", "prediction": 0.72, "confidence": 0.85, "historicalAccuracy": 0.78 },
{ "modelId": "gpt", "prediction": 0.68, "confidence": 0.80, "historicalAccuracy": 0.74 },
{ "modelId": "gemini", "prediction": 0.45, "confidence": 0.70, "historicalAccuracy": 0.65 },
{ "modelId": "analyst", "prediction": 0.80, "confidence": 0.60, "historicalAccuracy": 0.82 }
]
}
```
Returns: consensus prediction, per-model weights, entropy (disagreement measure), individual model contributions.
## Rules
1. Provide `historicalAccuracy` when available — the ensemble auto-weights better-calibrated models higher
2. High entropy (>0.7) means models strongly disagree — flag to user before acting
3. Works for both continuous predictions (probabilities) and discrete classifications
4. Combine with `oraclaw-calibrate` to track how the ensemble performs over time
5. Minimum 2 models, but 3-5 is the sweet spot for robust consensus
## Pricing
$0.03 per ensemble prediction. USDC on Base via x402. Free tier: 3,000 calls/month.
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skill
ai