polymarket-analysis

# Polymarket Analysis Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis. **Scope:** Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution. ## Modes | Mode | Description | Reference | |------|-------------|-----------| | **Analyze** | One-time market analysis | This file | | **Monitor** | 24/7 market monitoring | `references/market-monitoring-setup.md` | | **Profile** | Track user wallet positions | `scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py` | ## Scripts ```bash # Monitor market for alerts python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id> # Fetch user profile/positions python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl] ``` ## Quick Start ### Market Analysis 1. Get market URL from user 2. Fetch via `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}` 3. Run multi-strategy analysis ### User Profile ```bash # From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x... python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5 ``` ## Core Strategies | Strategy | Description | Reference | |----------|-------------|-----------| | Pair Cost Arbitrage | YES+NO < $1.00 | `references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md` | | Momentum | RSI, MA signals | `references/momentum-analysis.md` | | Whale Tracking | Large trades | `references/whale-tracking.md` | | Sentiment | News/social | `references/sentiment-analysis.md` | ## Alert Thresholds | Event | Threshold | |-------|-----------| | Price change | ±5% in 1h | | Large trade | >$5,000 | | Pair cost | <$0.98 | | Volume spike | >2x avg | ## APIs | API | Base URL | Use | |-----|----------|-----| | Gamma | `gamma-api.polymarket.com` | Markets, prices | | Data | `data-api.polymarket.com` | User positions, trades, P&L | | CLOB | `clob.polymarket.com` | Order books, trading | See `references/polymarket-api.md` for full endpoint reference. ## References - `references/polymarket-api.md` - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB) - `references/market-monitoring-setup.md` - 24/7 cron monitoring - `references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md` - Arbitrage detection - `references/momentum-analysis.md` - Technical analysis - `references/whale-tracking.md` - Smart money tracking - `references/sentiment-analysis.md` - Sentiment aggregation