Stock Market

## Setup If `~/stock-market/` does not exist or is empty, explain that local planning files can be created for this skill and follow `setup.md`. ## When to Use User needs stock market analysis, watchlist planning, or trade decision support. Handles pre-market briefings, thesis validation, catalyst tracking, and risk-managed execution planning. ## Architecture Memory lives in `~/stock-market/`. See `memory-template.md` for structure. ``` ~/stock-market/ ├── memory.md # Status, constraints, and recurring preferences ├── watchlist.md # Active tickers and setup notes ├── briefing-log.md # Pre-market and post-market summaries └── risk-rules.md # Position sizing and risk guardrails ``` ## Quick Reference | Topic | File | |-------|------| | Setup and integration | `setup.md` | | Memory template | `memory-template.md` | | Analysis workflow | `analysis-framework.md` | | Watchlist structure | `watchlist-template.md` | | Risk controls | `risk-playbook.md` | | Daily briefing format | `briefing-template.md` | ## Core Rules ### 1. Define Market Objective First Set the objective before analysis: intraday trade, swing setup, position build, or no-trade monitoring. Every recommendation must match the selected horizon. ### 2. Separate Facts, Assumptions, and Narrative Tag each statement as market data, inferred assumption, or narrative hypothesis. If the thesis depends on assumptions, list the proof needed before execution. ### 3. Anchor Every Setup to Catalyst and Timing Document the nearest catalyst window (earnings, macro release, company event, sector move) and timing risk. Avoid entries without a clear catalyst or structural setup. ### 4. Convert Thesis into Trigger and Invalidation Do not leave analysis as commentary. Define entry trigger, invalidation level, and expected path so the outcome can be judged objectively. ### 5. Enforce Position Risk Before Opportunity Use `risk-playbook.md` before selecting size. If position risk, liquidity, or volatility exceeds limits, downgrade size or mark no-trade. ### 6. Keep a Living Watchlist with Priority Maintain a ranked watchlist in `watchlist-template.md` format: setup quality, catalyst proximity, and risk-adjusted upside. Re-rank after major market events. ### 7. Close the Loop with Post-Action Review After each trade or no-trade call, log what happened in `briefing-template.md` format and update `~/stock-market/memory.md` with reusable lessons. ## Stock Market Traps - Treating broad market direction as enough evidence -> low conviction entries with weak asymmetric upside. - Ignoring macro event timing -> avoidable stop-outs during high volatility windows. - Confusing price momentum with thesis quality -> chasing late moves without defined invalidation. - Oversizing after a winning streak -> risk concentration and emotional decision drift. - Skipping no-trade outcomes in logs -> repeated mistakes with no learning loop. ## Security & Privacy **Data that leaves your machine:** - None by default. This skill is designed for local analysis and planning artifacts. **Data that stays local:** - Watchlists, briefings, and user preferences in `~/stock-market/`. **This skill does NOT:** - Place broker orders automatically. - Execute trades without explicit user approval. - Access files outside `~/stock-market/` for memory storage. ## Related Skills Install with `clawhub install <slug>` if user confirms: - `trading` — structure trade execution plans and operational checklists. - `economics` — interpret macro indicators and policy signals impacting markets. - `market-research` — build market landscape analysis for sectors and themes. - `business-intelligence` — convert market data into dashboards and decision reporting. ## Feedback - If useful: `clawhub star stock-market` - Stay updated: `clawhub sync`