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polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader

Trades distribution-sum violations in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket. Range bins for the same person and date range must sum to ~100% — when they do not, individual bins are mispriced. Also detects local anomalies where a single bin deviates sharply from its neighbors.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 82

AI智能

polymarket-ladder-nhl-hockey-trader

Trades monotonicity violations in NHL hockey O/U market ladders and spread-vs-total consistency on Polymarket. Each game spawns multiple O/U lines that must be monotonically decreasing — when the ladder is broken, the mispriced line reverts.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 93

AI智能

polymarket-ladder-f1-championship-trader

Trades distribution-sum violations in F1 championship winner markets on Polymarket. Driver winner probabilities form a distribution that must sum to ~100% — when the field is collectively overpriced or underpriced, individual driver markets are structurally mispriced.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 80

AI智能

polymarket-ladder-esports-kills-trader

Trades monotonicity violations in esports Total Kills O/U market ladders on Polymarket. Each esports match spawns multiple kill total thresholds that must be monotonically decreasing — when they are not, it is structural arbitrage. Sizes by conviction with violation magnitude scaling.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 92

AI智能

polymarket-ladder-chess-tournament-trader

Trades distribution-sum violations in chess tournament winner markets on Polymarket. Player winner probabilities must sum to ~100% — when the field total deviates beyond threshold, individual player markets are structurally mispriced.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 89

AI智能

polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader

Trades weekly cyclical patterns in geopolitical prediction markets. Military operations spike Mon-Thu, diplomacy clusters around working days, and weekend staleness creates Monday repricing opportunities. Combines day-of-week timing with conviction-based sizing.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 91

AI智能

polymarket-geopolitics-sentiment-reversal-trader

Trades mean reversion on geopolitical markets pushed to probability extremes by breaking news. Markets at >92% or <8% with long time horizons systematically over-react and revert. Combines overreaction bias detection with staleness factor (days-to-resolution) for conviction sizing.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 91

AI智能

polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader

Trades temporal inconsistencies across geopolitical markets with different deadlines. When P(event by later date) < P(event by earlier date), the later-deadline market is underpriced — a mathematical tautology violation. Also detects diplomacy-vs-escalation inversions within the same conflict.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 82

AI智能

polymarket-cryptos-hunter

HFT Market Making bot for Polymarket. Live execution via Web3 and CLOB API.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 68

AI智能

polymarket-bundle-tennis-set-match-trader

Trades cross-market constraint violations in tennis Set 1 Games O/U, Match Games O/U, Total Sets O/U, Set Handicap, and Set/Match Winner bundles on Polymarket. Match total always exceeds Set 1 total so P(Match O/U X OVER) must be >= P(Set 1 O/U X OVER) and Total Sets O/U 2.5 constrains set handicap pricing. Violations are structural arbitrage sized by conviction.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 83

AI智能

polymarket-bundle-overwatch-bo3-trader

Trades structural arbitrage between Overwatch BO3 series winner markets and individual game winner markets on Polymarket. P(BO3 winner) must be mathematically consistent with P(Game 1 winner) and P(Game 2 winner) -- when it is not, individual game probabilities imply a different BO3 win probability than the market is pricing, creating a free edge that resolves mechanically.

⭐ 0 ⬇ 85

AI智能